Dr. phil. Kerstin Cuhls


Kerstin Cuhls has been a scientific project manager at the Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI since 1992. She studied Japanology, Chinese Studies and Economics/Business Administration. She finished her Dr. phil. at the University of Hamburg in Japanology about Technology Foresight in Japan and now combines this knowledge with methods from Futures Research.

From 2007 to 2009 Kerstin Cuhls was the project manager of the first cycle of the BMBF Foresight. From 2008 to 2010 she was head of the business unit "Foresight and Futures Research". In national, regional and international studies for different contracting authorities she built up a huge repertoire of methods in Foresight applied in projects and taught in seminars at the Freie Universität Berlin (Masterstudiengang Zukunftsforschung).

From 2011 to 2012, she was interim professor for Japanology at the Centre for East Asian Studies, University of Heidelberg with lectures and seminars about East Asian history, cultural issues in the context of management, Innovation in Japan, Time Concepts in East Asia and Demographic Change. Teaching assignments (Demographic Change, Time Concepts) in Heidelberg followed.

Kerstin Cuhls was member of the European Forum for Forward-Looking Activities (EFFLA) of the European Commission, the High Level Expert Group RISE and the expert group “Strategic Foresight”. She is in the International Editorial and Advisory Boards of different Journals (e.g. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Journal of European Futures Research, Futures & Foresight Science, Zeitschrift für Zukunftsforschung etc.).


    • Foresight: organization, methodology and evaluation
    • Delphi surveys and combination with other methods
    • Innovation strategies and society
    • Management of research and development
    • Comparison of Japanese and German innovation systems, research, technology and policy
    • Japan and Asia in general
    • Demographic change and its implication 
    • Aengenheyster, S.; Cuhls, K.; Gerhold, L.; Heiskanen-Schüttler, M.; Huck, J.; Muszynska, M. (2017): Real-Time Delphi in practice — A comparative analysis of existing software-based tools. In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2017.01.023.     
    • Cuhls, K.; Fan, C.; Gransche, B.; Shala, E.; Teufel, B. (2016): Zusammenfassender Endbericht SCHRUMPF (SHRINK). Maßnahmen gegen die Folgen des demografischen Wandels – Schrumpfende Gesellschaften im Vergleich. Unter Mitarbeit von O. Meister, K. Dietrich, S. Oswald und P. Sandker. Fraunhofer ISI. Karlsruhe   
    • Cuhls, K. E. (2016): Mental Time Travel in Foresight Processes—Cases and Applications. In: Futures. DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2016.05.008 .   
    • Cuhls, K. (2016): Vom Umgang mit Zeit und Zukunft – Zeitreisen in der Zukunftsforschung. In: Popp, R.; Fischer, N.; Heiskanen-Schüttler, M.; Holz, J.; Uhl, A. (Hg.): Einblicke, Ausblicke, Weitblicke. Aktuelle Perspektiven in der Zukunftsforschung. 1. Aufl. Münster: Lit-Verlag (Zukunftswissenschaft/Zukunftsforschung, 2).   
    • Warnke, P.; Koschatzky, K.; Dönitz, E.; Zenker, A.; Stahlecker, T.; Som, O.; Cuhls, K.; Güth, S. (2016): Opening up the innovation system framework towards new actors and institutions. Karlsruhe (Fraunhofer ISI Discussion Papers Innovation Systems and Policy Analysis, 49).   
    • Cuhls, K. (2016): Comment on Harold A. Linstone. When is a Need a Need? The Problem of Normative Forecasting in a Changing Environment, in: Technological Forecasting and Social Change 1 (1969), 55–71. In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change 102, S. 11–13. DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.03.015 .   
    • Bioökonomierat (Hg.) (2015): Global Visions for the Bioeconomy – an International Delphi-Study.   
    • Cuhls, K. (2015): Bringing foresight to decision-making - lessons for policy-making from selected non-European countries. Policy brief by the Research, Innovation, and Science Policy Experts (RISE). European Commission. Brüssel.   
    • Cuhls, K. (2015): Lessons for policy-making from foresight in non-European countries. Policy paper by the Research, Innovation, and Science Policy Experts (RISE). European Commission. Brüssel.   
    • Cuhls, K. (2015): Ziele und Rahmenbedingungen. In: Gerhold, L.; Holtmannspötter, D.; Neuhaus, C.; Schüll, E.; Schulz-Montag, B.; Steinmüller, K.; Zweck, A. (Hg.): Standards und Gütekriterien der Zukunftsforschung. Ein Handbuch für Wissenschaft und Praxis. Wiesbaden: Springer VS (Zukunft und Forschung, 4), S. 86–93.