Project

In line with the Paris Agreement, the EU has set itself the target of reaching net-zero Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions by 2050. Different options exist to reach this goal and Member States chose different political options in their attempt to reach net-zero GHG emissions.

The idea of the project «Pathways to an EU in 2050 with net-zero GHG-emissions» was to illustrate different possible pathways of the EU and its Member States to a climate-neutral economy. The final report presents the modeling framework, scenario definitions and assumptions and discusses the results of the three scenarios developed within the project: EUBase, EUTarget and EUSupreme. In addition to the modeling of those three scenarios, a work package focusing on the EU Taxonomy assessed how well aligned these scenarios are with the EU Taxonomy. It further adressed the question It also addressed the question of what additions to the applied models would be required to enable modeling of the EU Taxonomy and its effects on GHG emissions.

The analysis focuses on the impacts of policies, strategies and measures on GHG emissions, energy demand and other sector-specific relevant physical values. Not included in the analysis are the scenario impacts on costs and the resulting monetary investment needs, the scenario implications on energy prices or macroeconomic indicators, in particular GDP developments and employment figures. Such values (monetary values and employment) are mainly outside the scope of the applied models; where results are available, they are not included in the analysis.

• Scenario development and techno-economic modeling/ modeling of policy impacts
• Scenario comparison

• Will follow shortly.

From December 2021 to October 2025.

• Federal Environment Agency (UBA)

• Öko-Institut
• IREES GmbH